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Germany's project lenders more ready for nuclear phase-out than developers

01 November 2011

Germany’s nuclear phase-out will mean some increased opportunities for project developers in the longer term. For now, the biggest beneficiaries are neighbouring power exporters. Tom Nelthorpe reports from Berlin.

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The German federal government’s decision in August 2011 to shut down eight of its nuclear reactors permanently, and another nine by 2022, attracted criticism as panicked and poorly thought-out. The decision was a direct consequence of the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan, though Germany has long been ambivalent about its use of nuclear power. As more than one observer has noted, imported power, much of it from coal or nuclear, replaced the 8GW of immediate retirements. Germany’s willingness to embrace wind and solar tech­nologies early and with enthusiasm has given it a substantial base of developers and equipment suppliers. There is a widespread assumption that renewables will be able to replace the retiring nuclear fleet, though no country has ever replaced such a large baseload fleet (roughly 20GW) in such a short time-frame. Germany wants renewables to account for 35% of generation by 2020, and 80% by 2050.Germany's target generation mixSource: PöyryIn...


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